Pearce Heavily Favored - Updated

This just in: the people who told me about a poll in District 18 were right. Turns out there was a poll and it shows Russell Pearce with a substantial lead over Kevin Gibbons of 51% to 13%. That is a margin of 38 points.

And this took place over the same weekend where Pearce was all over the newspapers and negative postcards were in everyone's mailboxes. The pollster states that the smear efforts may have backfired. The guys behind "Mesa Deserves Better" even admit that there is credibility in the poll.

Gibbons attempts to play it cool stating that he thought Pearce would have an even greater advantage and he is going to go after those who are undecided. Well, according to the poll, that may not be enough. He is going to have to peel off some Pearce supporters and hope to do it fast before they vote their early ballot.

UPDATE: The Arizona Republic has a link to the actual poll. I don't really know what I am looking for, but it looks like Pearce is solid across the board. Here is a quote from someone from Sonoran Alliance's converage:

"See the survey for yourself. It looks to me like a single subject survey with rotated order of names. It also looks like a primary voting Republican sample balanced for turnout.
In other words, it looks like a legitimate overwhelming defeat is about to take place."